Start & Sit Advice Turkey Day

Justin Rosser Nov 24, 2021

Gobble Gobble, that’s right, we’re here to look at the Thursday trifecta Thanksgiving slate of games to help you “gobble” up as many points as possible. Playoffs are around the corner, setting the best possible lineup with good coaching decisions is critical to chalking one up in the win column.

START:

QBs:

Josh Allen (BUF)– Easy start, especially after such a poor team performance last week, look for the Bills to go for big points in a prove-it game.

Dak Prescott (DAL)– Another easy start, don’t fade your top QB’s after a bad game, you drafted them that high, play them. The availability of CeeDee Lamb (concussion) is questionable but trending towards playing and Amari Cooper OUT(Covid Protocol), that should not change your mind.

Derek Carr (LV)– After a poor performance against Cinncinati, look for a desperate Vegas squad to play hard under the spotlight of a primetime game in what I expect to hit over the 51.5 line. Get as much stuffing on your plate for this game as you can, you won’t regret it.

RBs:

David Montgomery (CHI) Easing Monty back into heavy volume work seems to have been the Bears’ plan, not necessarily by choice. Playing 2 solid run defenses in Pittsburgh and Baltimore, it’s been a rough go, [enter] Detroit run defense. The Bears have switched back to Andy Dalton, with rookie QB Justin Fields dealing with an injury, look for them to hand the ball off over 20 times to Montgomery and control the clock against the winless Lions who in the last 4 weeks are allowing 131 yards per game and 17 touchdowns on the ground.

Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)– Returning to full practice on Tuesday, look for the #7 ranked RB to carve up a soft Raiders run defense like dad carving a Turkey out of the oven. I tell you, we better see Zeke give us the old “feed me” taunt after running for first down after first down, that man is hungry.

Mark Ingram (NO) Alvin Kamara has not practiced, leading me to believe he will miss his third game in a row. Ingram has been steady in his absence and averaging 15 carries a game with slightly over 15 points per game. Be warned as Ingram has not participated in practice either with a minor injury and if he can’t go then Tony Jones would be in line for an increased workload. *UPDATE: Looking less likely that Ingram will play, pick up Tony for insurance*

WRs:

Stefon Diggs (BUF)– He will ball out like a gravy overload.

Michael Gallup (DAL)– Opportunity creates production and he should have plenty of opportunities. After posting a sub-optimal 6.90 points in week 11, don’t overthink this play. With Amari Cooper OUT, Gallup should look to build off the 10 targets he saw against KC last week, Dak just needs to place the ball better for the 6’1″ wideout.

TEs:

Darren Waller (LVR)– There is no doubt you are starting Waller the Baller, plug him into your lineup, and enjoy watching him get targeted 7-12 times.

Dalton Schultz (DAL)– With Cooper out and Lamb coming off a concussion, Schultz should see a decent amount of volume and should be a safe play. Like the mashed potatoes of the Thanksgiving dinner, you feel pretty safe putting it on your plate.

Cole Kmet (CHI)– I think Kmet is a sneaky good play, with Robinson not looking good to go with a hamstring injury and Mooney dealing with a foot issue there are not a ton of great options for Dalton. Lately, Kmet has been on the field over 75% of snaps and getting 5-8 targets a game. I would only play Kmet in a situation you need him (Kelce owners) as he has not shown that blow-up game, but the volume is encouraging.

SITS:

QBs:

Trevor Siemian (NO)– Coming off a great game, showing a lot of promise, this is the game to completely fade him. This Buffalo defense was assaulted last week by Jonathan Taylor & Co, and have a point to prove they are the top defense in football still. Just keep Siemian on the bench like you keep the Brussel sprouts off your plate.

Jared Goff (DET)– Goff is like the salad at Turkey dinner, there is just no room for you bud.

RBs:

All Bills RBs– None of these backs should be in your starting lineup at this point, the three-way committee is a headache, just avoid it.

Kenyan Drake (LVR)– Even if you are desperate, I would avoid him. He is averaging only 4 carries a game and his usage in the passing game has diminished. He has a 3 game spurt where hope was alive but has since reverted to a minimal role, can’t trust him.

WRs:

Detroit WRs– They have shown in the past they can be effective at times, but it’s a smarter option to just fade them and not gamble on the inconsistency.

Emmanuel Sanders (BUF)– Sanders started the season really hot, but since the Bills BYE week 7, he has a combined 18.7 points in 4 games. Until he starts hitting his stride again, I would keep him on the pine or even the FA pool.

TEs:

I don’t mind any of these TE plays even with Trautman out, Juwan Johnson shows some upside at the position.

Enjoy time with family and watch football all day!

Justin Rosser Nov 24, 2021

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