Fantasy Baseball – Week 3 Preview

Welcome to the Fantasy Baseball Preview. This is where we will take a look at the best roster moves for the week ahead. From two-start pitcher to top waiver wire adds, this is meant to guide fantasy owners to a championship. While each league has different league settings, there is more than enough information for everyone on this page.

We are now over a week into the 2021 MLB season, with only minor COVID-19 hiccups. Unfortunately the Washington Nationals took the biggest fantasy hit. That being said, for the most part, it’s hard to complain too much because baseball is back. Let’s dive into it.

Two Start Pitchers

Start em’:

Lucas Giolito: CLE/BOS
Shane Bieber: CWS/CIN
Aaron Nola: NYM/STL
Yu Darvish: PIT/LAD
Hyun-Jin Ryu: NYY/KC
Zach Greinke: DET/SEA
Blake Snell: PIT/LAD
Tyler Glasnow: TEX/NYY
Kenta Maeda: BOS/LAA
Clayton Kershaw: COL/SDP
Freddy Peralta: CHC/PIT
Pablo Lopez: ATL/SF
Stephen Strasburg: STL/ARI

Proceed with caution:

Means looks fantastic this season, posting a 0.77 ERA and 2.20 FIP. I’m not scared of either of these offenses in their current forms.

Michael Waterloo – Fantasy Pros

Max Fried: MIA/CHC
John Means: SEA/TEX
Chris Bassitt: ARI/DET
Dallas Keuchel: CLE/BOS
Christian Javier: DET/SEA
Ryan Yarbrough: TEX/NYY
Nathan Eovaldi: MIN/CWS
Madison Bumgarner: OAK/WAS
Casey Mize: HOU/OAK
Matthew Boyd: HOU/OAK

Take a shot if you need to:

Justin Sheffield: BAL/HOU
Wade Miley: SF/CLE
Dane Dunning: TBR/BAL
Dean Kremer: SEA/TEX
David Peterson: PHI/COL
Danny Duffy: LAA/TOR

Waiver Wire Adds – Hitters

Brandon Nimmo (NYM – OF) – 26% Yahoo
At this point, we kind of know what Brandon Nimmo is. He is a guy who can get on base and generate runs. Off to a scorching start, the Mets outfielder is batting .429 through 18 plate appearances. He has added a couple of runs, a stolen base, and an RBI. The Mets will host the Phillies for a four-game series and then head to our beloved Coors Field for three games. Hitting leadoff, in front of Francisco Lindor, Nimmo holds plenty of value this week.

Omar Navarez (MIL – C) – 23% Yahoo
Easily the weakest position, finding a productive hitter is no easy task. The Brewers catcher has played in six of the first eight games, with 20 plate appearances. Owning a .444 average, Navarez is hitting for power early. He has two home runs and five RBI’s. The hard hit % is currently at 42.9%, easily is career high. Hitting in the middle of the order against lefties, there is a lot of fantasy goodness here. Ride the hot streak at a very thin position.

Colin Moran (PIT – 1B, 2B, 3B) – 22% Yahoo
Owning a 50% Hard hit rate, Moran should be owned in the majority of leagues. The weak Pirates team may have a negative connotation – but the fantasy numbers are there. Two homeruns, three RBI’s, four runs, and a .280 average. The walk rate is at a career high 13.8%, indicating a much more mature approach at the plate. Moran is currently hitting cleanup.

Myles Straw (HOU – OF) – 23% Yahoo
Speed is so difficult to find this year. While there are concerns about the ability to get on base, Straw and the Astros are off to a great start. The average is down on the year, but he has gone 5-13 over the past five days and now owns a .375 OBP on the year. If you are too patient on Straw, it will be too late to grab him before he takes off.

Hot and Cold Streaks

Following the hot and cold streaks are important. They won’t last forever and playing your league like the stock market will net you a huge reward. This section can translate into a “buy low, sell high” type of scenario. Here are some of the hottest and coldest players in the league.

Nick Castellanos – .429 AVG, 4 HR, 7 RBI, 9 R, 0 SB
J.D. Martinez – .469 AVG, 2 HR, 12 RBI, 6 R, 0 SB
Mike Trout – .429 AVG, 3 HR, 6 RBI, 8 R, 0 SB
Tyler Naquin – .318 AVG, 5 HR, 14 RBI, 7 R, 1 SB
Yermin Mercedes – .556 AVG, 2 HR, 7 RBI, 5 R, 0SB

Joe Musgrove – 2 W, 18 K, 0.00 ERA, 0.20 WHIP
Lance Lynn – 1 W, 17 K, 0.00 ERA, 0.95 WHIP
Corbin Burnes – 0 W, 20 K, 0.73 ERA, 0.16 WHIP
Jose Berrios – 2 W, 20 K, 1.54 ERA, 0.69 WHIP
Jake McGee – 1 W, 3 SV, 6 K, 0.00 ERA, 0.23 WHIP

Cold (relative to ADP):
Trevor Story – .229 AVG, 0 HR, 3 RBI, 3 R, 0 SB
Francisco Lindor – .214 AVG, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R, 0 SB
Ozzie Albies – .111 AVG, 0 HR, 1 RBI, 3 R, 0 SB
Marcel Ozuna – .125 AVG, 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 R, 0 SB
Tim Anderson – .200 AVG, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 3 R, 0 SB

Luis Castillo – 1 W, 5 K, 6.97 ERA, 1.45 WHIP
Max Fried – 0 W, 11 K, 9.00 ERA, 2.43 WHIP
Jesus Luzardo – 0 W, 14 K, 6.10 ERA, 1.74 WHIP
Frankie Montas – 1 W, 9 K, 8.31 ERA, 1.96 WHIP
Patrick Corbin – 0 W, 5 K, 12.46 ERA, 2.08 WHIP

Closer Corner

St. Louis Cardinals
If you have been following baseball over the last three to four years, you may have heard the name Alex Reyes. One of the top prospects out to the Cardinals organization, Reyes has yet to stay healthy, hampering his big-league career. Well, now with 4.1 innings under his belt in 2021, Reyes has moved to the bullpen and has recorded 3 saves, 3 punch outs, while allowing zero earned runs. It looks, for now, that the closer role is his. Jordan Hicks is the sexy name who throws absolute gas, but does not have the command to hold down the role.

San Francisco Giants
Although not a team who will have a ton of save opportunities, Jake McGee owns the role for now. He was dominant last week, earning 3 saves and a win for the Giants. The 34-year old has a 12.46 K/9 and 2.08 BB/9. While not a lock, McGee will offer saves opportunities as long as he continues pitching well.

Toronto Blue Jays
Once Kirby Yates went down for the season, fantasy owners jumped on Jordan Romano. Then, it appeared Julian Merryweather would win the closer role after earing two saves against the Yankees. This is already a committee situation, with Dolis being thrown in late innings as well. I still believe Romano is their guy and will eventually win the job. Hold on hope and buy low if you can.

Final Thoughts

Do not overreact to one week of baseball. There are a ton of outliers which will normalize over the next couple of weeks. That being said, do not be afraid to be proactive. There are certain situations where taking a shot on a player could pay off huge dividends.

The waiver wire should be something looked at each and every day. We have already witnessed some big names going down and this will continue. Especially with COVID.

Making sure to watch each teams bullpen situation is huge. Half the league does not have a bonified, locked-in, closer. This is a fluid situation and being in the know before league mates is a huge advantage.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: Logo

You are commenting using your account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: